FE1/11 and FE3/12 (Archanea Games) “Choose your Legends” Poll Results Analysis

Nintendo conducted a poll for Fire Emblem Heroes urging fans to pick a favorite character of theirs that they would love to see featured. Each fan could vote once a day for 13 days for almost any character from any of the main Fire Emblem series of games.

This is part of a miniseries I am doing on analyzing the vast amount of poll data available to us and what it means for the fandom and their favorites regarding characters.

Thanks to the tireless work of Elieson over on serenesforest.net, we can take a look at the break downs by game! Today we will focus on FE1/11 (which were combined on the official poll), and FE3/12 (which too were combined). The games will be referred to as Shadow Dragon and Mystery of the Emblem for simplicity. Combined, they form the Archanea Saga of games.

There are some general things to keep in mind before we get started, however.

  • This was a worldwide contest from all territories on all the games. All votes were included to one ballot. This is useful to know when it comes to character popularity.
  • The “overall place” is out of 791 characters that could be voted for. Any number you see in the “overall place” category is ##/791.
  • This was just one game out of the entire series that was available to be voted on. While Nintendo recorded 1.2 million votes (actually calculated to be 1,279,158), that is across all games. For the purposes of this analysis, we will only base it on the votes that went toward the game being analyzed. Even then, it is a limited format as there are plenty of factors that come to play.
    • For instance, if this was purely a poll on Shadow Dragon, then votes would have been better distributed to what characters people actually favor, as it would be characters versus each other, rather than against characters from the entire series.
    • The assumption I am running on is simply this: If the voter picked their favorite from this game against the rest of the Fire Emblem games’ casts, then surely they would pick these characters if they were only up against other characters from their own game.
      • However, the issue with this assumption is that it ignores the 13 votes each member had, who may have distributed it across other characters from other games rather than multiple favorites they may have had in one single game. (For example: A voter votes Marth and Tiki, and though they would have cast a vote to Ogma if it was just Shadow Dragon, they instead cast their votes for Hector in Blazing Blade, thus skewing the results Ogma would have had in this game alone had it been isolated) Please be aware of these limitations when seeing the data.
  • Some characters were split if they appeared in multiple games (i.e. Marth in FE11 and 12 are two different votes. This is a point worth noting, as we will see.
  • Male characters and female characters were polled from the same limited set of 13. This means if someone voted for a favorite male character one day, they did not get to vote a female character the same day. This is worth noting because male/female characters are not in competition with each other. So, their voter base could only vote for a character in one gender or the other, meaning there may have been more votes for female characters overall than male, even if the voter had a male they would have preferred too. There is potential to skew the results here, as would have been solved with two polls (one for each gender).
    • For the purposes of game-by-game analysis, the gender split does not matter too much as it is purely to gauge potential popularity. However, when we address the overall gender vote later on, this will be more important –much like how it was when analyzing the top 20.
  • Each individual was able to vote multiple times. One person could vote 13 times over the event period (and this assumes from one device)! As such, do not treat the total amount of votes as total amount of people who voted. Those are two very different things!
  • Nintendo had released midterm results on current poll standings. I consider this an important aspect in determining the final outcome to overall popularity, as I will address if relevant to the game.

Fire Emblem: Shadow Dragon (FE1 + 11)

In-Game Placing Overall Place Character Total Votes
1 12 Marth 15877
2 51 Caeda 5496
3 66 Tiki 4431
4 110 Minerva 2561
5 114 Navarre 2439
6 120 Wrys 2336
7 129 Ogma 2229
8 162 Merric 1639
9 181 Catria 1455
10 187 Linde 1396
11 190 Camus 1389
12 210 Cain 1172
13 216 Anna 1135
14 246 Abel 961
15 286 Jagen 724
16 288 Wolf 719
17 293 Athena 697
18 297 Xane 688
19 299 Barst 681
20 324 Draug 599
21 332 Nagi 573
22 343 Gordin 526
23 344 Palla 524
24 353 Julian 515
25 372 Etzel 452
26 391 Vyland 409
27 392 Jeorge 404
28 396 Elice 392
29 402 Lena 372
30 403 Norne 371
31 407 Michalis 354
32 408 Hardin 352
33 418 Nyna 331
34 442 Lorenz 292
35 449 Gharnef 281
36 454 Maria 278
37 462 Bantu 270
38 477 Radd 252
39 485 Castor 244
40 514 Est 217
41 524 Sedgar 201
42 527 Frey 197
43 535 Bord 180
44 537 Wendell 178
45 544 Cord 168
46 554 Jake 160
47 561 Roshea 154
48 574 Matthis 142
49 578 Astram 140
50 580 Horace 139
51 582 Arran 138
52 595 Caesar 130
53 596 Darros 130
54 615 Ymir 114
55 622 Medeus 107
56 630 Samson 102
57 632 Midia 102
58 647 Beck 97
59 652 Gotoh 94
60 666 Boah 82
61 681 Dolph 72
62 687 Tomas 68
63 690 Macellan 67
64 692 Roger 66
65 702 Rickard 63
66 749 Malledus 43

Notes:

  • A total of 59,167 votes were cast across all the characters of this game.
    • That means FE1/11 characters received just 6% of the overall votes.
  • Of that number, Marth has 15,877 votes, or 26% of total votes for this game. He is the highest scoring male character of the game.
  • Caeda is in 2nd, with 5496 She is the highest scoring female character of the game.
  • Only three characters made it to the top 100. (Marth, Caeda, and Tiki).
  • The top ten characters on this list already have 39,859 votes combined (77%); meaning characters 11-66 had only 23% of the votes despite making up 83% percent of the cast.
  • Malledus is the lowest ranked male character in last place at 66th place (749/791 overall) and the lowest scoring female character is Midia in 57th (632/791).

The top scorers in this game are somewhat expected. Indeed, as Intelligent Systems has plenty of the top scorers already in Fire Emblem Heroes.

A point worth noting is this Marth made it to the top 10 male characters and 12th overall –with Caeda as 52nd overall right after, showing the great difference between Marth compared to other characters of the game.

This is perhaps due to his status as a “face” of the series as a whole, as well as his continued presence in the Smash Bros. series –which the rest of the characters in this game lack.

Tiki’s Awakening appearance (grown up) scored much higher than she did here, and is likely where those voting for her put their votes (considering she got more than double there), explaining her relatively lower numbers here.

Next let’s look at the sequel and how it fared.

Fire Emblem: New Mystery of the Emblem (FE3 + 12)

In-Game Placing Overall Place Character Total Votes
1 33 Marth 8670
2 123 Tiki 2298
3 134 Katarina 2162
4 158 Caeda 1747
5 224 Catria 1079
6 247 Ogma 960
7 249 Navarre 935
8 260 Minerva 861
9 263 Merric 854
10 273 Jeorge 810
11 282 Sirius 742
12 284 Kris (male) 736
13 294 Palla 695
14 316 Linde 622
15 327 Sheena 590
16 357 Cain 491
17 370 Gordin 456
18 375 Camus 440
19 395 Malice 397
20 400 Kris (female) 373
21 415 Xane 344
22 416 Clarisse 335
23 417 Wrys 333
24 445 Anna 287
25 465 Vyland 266
26 469 Arlen 261
27 473 Michalis 256
28 493 Norne 236
29 500 Hardin 228
30 506 Athena 223
31 510 Draug 220
32 512 Legion 218
33 515 Etzel 214
34 518 Nagi 211
35 525 Julian 200
36 528 Phina 196
37 530 Wolf 187
38 532 Cecil 186
39 534 Jagen 183
40 539 Abel 173
41 551 Yuliya 161
42 553 Barst 160
43 566 Samuel 148
44 576 Ryan 141
45 585 Castor 136
46 588 Jubelo 135
47 589 Maria 134
48 599 Elice 127
49 600 Sedgar 127
50 602 Eremiya 126
51 606 Lena 121
52 612 Nyna 115
53 617 Marisha 110
54 633 Caesar 102
55 636 Lorenz 100
56 646 Astram 97
57 650 Lang 96
58 657 Bord 88
59 660 Roshea 86
60 664 Est 84
61 669 Dice 80
62 672 Bantu 78
63 676 Luke 75
64 679 Arran 73
65 680 Matthis 72
66 685 Roderick 69
67 686 Radd 69
68 696 Cord 65
69 697 Gharnef 65
70 698 Horace 65
71 704 Belf 62
72 705 Medeus 62
73 710 Midia 60
74 715 Samson 58
75 718 Tomas 57
76 720 Wendell 56
77 731 Frey 51
78 733 Roberto 50
79 735 Jake 49
80 738 Warren 47
81 741 Reiden 46
82 756 Rickard 39
83 760 Gotoh 38
84 761 Dolph 37
85 765 Boah 36
86 778 Frost 29
87 782 Darros 27
88 785 Ymir 25
89 786 Beck 22
90 787 Roger 22
91 788 Macellan 19

 

Notes:

  • A total of 34,672 votes were cast across all the characters of this game.
    • That means FE3/12 characters received just 7% of the overall votes..
  • Of that number, Marth has 8670 votes, or 25% of total votes for this game. He is the highest scoring male character of the game.
    • This is significantly less than his Shadow Dragon appearance which also placed higher overall.
    • Marth is the only character from this game who made the top 100.
  • This time, Tiki is in 2nd, with 2298 She is the highest scoring female character of the game, rising from 3rd place in the previous game.
    • A character unique to this game, Katarina, placed 3rd with 2162
    • Caeda, in 2nd place on the Shadow Dragon poll, dropped to 4th here, with 1747
  • The player avatar character (Kris) placed 12th (male) and 20th (female).
    • The remake (FE12) was the first game with customizable active avatars (compared to FE7’s passive one), but there was no marriage mechanic, which may be worth noting.
  • The top ten characters on this list already have 20,376 votes combined (59%); meaning characters 11-91 had only 41% of the votes despite making up 88% percent of the cast.
  • Macellan is the lowest ranked male character in last place at 91st place, and 4th last place (788/791) overall with just 19
  • Midia is (once again) lowest ranked female character in 73rd (705/791). She was also lowest ranked in Shadow Dragon.

Mystery of the Emblem gives interesting results compared to Shadow Dragon. Here we see less overall votes, Tiki boosted to second, and Caeda dropped to fourth.

An easy explanation for this is simply the fact neither rendition of Mystery of the Emblem saw release in the west. The games have remained Japan only, so would likely have a minority of votes from western players who had played it. As such, perhaps it leans on Japanese tastes more, explaining Tiki’s boost and Caeda’s drop, as well as low overall votes.

Shadow Dragon conversely saw more votes for its characters as the remake (FE11) was released worldwide, so players would likely vote for Shadow Dragon despite the characters in both games being more of the same.

Lastly, we take a look at combined numbers between the two games!

Rank Character Total Votes
1 Marth 24547
2 Caeda 7243
3 Tiki 6729
4 Minerva 3422
5 Navarre 3374
6 Ogma 3189
7 Wrys 2669
8 Catria 2534
9 Merric 2493
10 Katarina 2162
11 Linde 2018
12 Camus 1829
13 Cain 1663
14 Anna 1422
15 Palla 1219
16 Jeorge 1214
17 Abel 1134
18 Xane 1032
19 Gordin 982
20 Athena 920
21 Jagen 907
22 Wolf 906
23 Barst 841
24 Draug 819
25 Nagi 784
26 Sirius 742
27 Kris (male) 736
28 Julian 715
29 Vyland 675
30 Etzel 666
31 Michalis 610
32 Norne 607
33 Sheena 590
34 Hardin 580
35 Elice 519
36 Lena 493
37 Nyna 446
38 Maria 412
39 Malice 397
40 Lorenz 392
41 Castor 380
42 Kris (female) 373
43 Bantu 348
44 Gharnef 346
45 Clarisse 335
46 Sedgar 328
47 Radd 321
48 Est 301
49 Bord 268
50 Arlen 261
51 Frey 248
52 Roshea 240
53 Astram 237
54 Wendell 234
55 Cord 233
56 Caesar 232
57 Legion 218
58 Matthis 214
59 Arran 211
60 Jake 209
61 Horace 204
62 Phina 196
63 Cecil 186
64 Medeus 169
65 Midia 162
66 Yuliya 161
67 Samson 160
68 Darros 157
69 Samuel 148
70 Ryan 141
71 Ymir 139
72 Jubelo 135
73 Gotoh 132
74 Eremiya 126
75 Tomas 125
76 Beck 119
77 Boah 118
78 Marisha 110
79 Dolph 109
80 Rickard 102
81 Lang 96
82 Roger 88
83 Macellan 86
84 Dice 80
85 Luke 75
86 Roderick 69
87 Belf 62
88 Roberto 50
89 Warren 47
90 Reiden 46
91 Frost 29

Notes:

  • Combined total votes is: 93,796. (7.3% of overall votes).
  • The above shows how numbers would be if characters were combined from both games (assuming they appeared in both).
    • This will skew the characters that only appear in one game (such as Katarina) who may have had more votes had this poll only been about Mystery of the Emblem rather than the series as a whole.
  • There are too many factors to put this back against the overall poll results, and so “overall rank” (with new numbers) has been excluded.

The combined numbers obviously skew things back in Shadow Dragon characters’ favor. Caeda for instance comes out on top of Tiki here once again thanks to the bolstered numbers. Mystery/New Mystery of the Emblem characters take a hit as they only have one set of numbers to support them.

As usual, these combined numbers are just for reference and curiosity sake, as there are many factors that come into play here!

Conclusion:

Shadow Dragon and its characters outperformed the sequel’s cast in almost every way when it came to votes. A major reason is simply the fact the former had a worldwide release while the latter was Japan only.

Marth was the most significant, considering that in overall ranks, the second place in both games was much farther down the list. This is likely thanks to his “series’ face” status as well as Smash Bros. presence.


That covers those two games! Tomorrow we take a look at the lowest scoring Gaiden! Stay tuned!

 

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One thought on “FE1/11 and FE3/12 (Archanea Games) “Choose your Legends” Poll Results Analysis

  1. Pingback: Fire Emblem Series “Choose Your Legends” Analysis – Final Summary and Recap | kantopia

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